08 July 2012

Pop Quiz

What did I miss while away?

Here is one item: In an opinion piece in the NYT I read on the plane today, Timonthy Egan writes:
In March, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warned in a special report of “unprecedented extreme weather and climate events” to come. The events are here . . .
Which leads to a pop quiz: If the IPCC predicts events to occur in the 2070s and beyond, and such events are observed in 2012, then this combination of prediction/events makes the IPCC:

A) Wrong
B) Right
C) Even more right

*Extra credit points to anyone who can point to any predictions made by the IPCC SREX report on extremes (the one referred to by Egan) for a period that includes 2012.

**Double extra credit to anyone who can point to any climate scientist who has called out Egan and the NYT for such nonsense.

It is reassuring to see that one can go unplugged for a week and the world remains as it was;-) I had a wonderful holiday, normal service soon to return.

6 comments:

  1. Roger, these wonderful people just want to save the world. You aren't helping by pointing out insignificant little details about their errors. The important thing is that we recognize how magnificent they are for the depth of their feeling and the extent of their commitment. You need to try harder to feel the love.

    Besides, facts are simply social constructs anyway. These people are just pursuing science by an alternative, but equally valid, methodology.

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  2. I just got back from Ireland myself. Over there, the cold wet summer is being blamed on climate change. Here the hot dry summer is being blamed on climate change. Climate change is the modern Satan; it explains all the evil in the world.

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  3. Received by email:

    "One might expect Tim Egan to have a more objective opinion since he is a journalist who has done very good work in his books on extreme weather such as the 1930’s Dust Bowl and 1910’s Big Burn.

    Could it be that he was assigned the writing of the editorial board’s view?"

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  4. "If the IPCC predicts events to occur in the 2070s and beyond, ..."

    ... then we'll have to wait at least till the 2070s to see whether they're wrong or right.

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  5. "If the IPCC predicts . . . "

    Those aren't predictions. They're consistent withs.

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  6. Those aren't predictions. They're consistent withs.

    You need to take that up with Mr Egan then. According to him they're not just predictions, they're warnings! "In March, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warned in a special report of “unprecedented extreme weather and climate events” to come."

    And the IPCC are making predictions, even if phrased as projections. Why else would they even exist, if not to help predict the future?

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