29 September 2010

Daniel Greenberg on The Climate Fix in Nature

In the current issue of Nature, science policy polymath and well-known cynic Daniel Greenberg reviews The Climate Fix. Greenberg has some very positive things to say, upbraids me for my political naivete (showing his well earned role as dean of science policy cynics) and gets one big idea in the book very, very wrong.

First, the positive:
Pielke merits admiration for his staunch defence of scientific accuracy and integrity. . . The author is well qualified to contest the established organs for addressing climate change, principally the IPCC and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. . . Pielke is not an apostle of inaction but a pragmatist who repeatedly and deservedly portrays his diagnoses and remedies as common sense.
Second, the upbraiding:
[H]is well-argued book ignores political reality. Neither politicians nor the public respond to nuanced, cautiously worded messages from the arcane world of science. . . He largely fails to recognize, however, that common sense is frequently unwelcome in climate politics.. .
If my book is too be criticized for its nuance and excessive common sense, well, I suppose I can live with that;-) 

Finally, Greenberg introduces a serious misrepresentation of my views when he characterizes them as follows:
Although Pielke accepts that the evidence for human influence on the climate system is robust, he stresses that the goal of cutting global carbon emissions is incompatible with economic growth for the world's poorest 1.5 billion people.
No. Not even close.  In fact, I argue much the opposite -- it is through providing energy access to the world's poorest and sustaining economic growth that lies our best chance for decarbonization.  This is the essence of the "oblique" approach that Chapter 9 focuses on.  I can't imagine how Greenberg got this confused as I state it ad nausem, unless he skipped or skimmed over the last chapter.  In the review he also confuses a carbon tax with a coal tax.  He further mistakenly suggests that I see a focus on carbon dioxide as a tradeoff with adaptation, when again, I say the opposite, specifically that they are not substitutes for each other.  Greenberg's expertise is not climate policy, but science policy, so that certainly explains his emphasis and perhaps his errors.

Ultimately, Greenberg concludes by emphasizing his own cynicism:
The Climate Fix illustrates the dilemma confronting scientists who seek to influence politics. Telling it like it is does not thrive on Capitol Hill. But shaping the message to suit the politics often involves a betrayal of scientific truth and a distortion of public and political understanding.
From where I sit, focusing on presenting politically acceptable policies built on a foundation of common sense is exactly what policy analysts and other experts should strive to do in the political process.  I simply reject his implication that there is a trade-off between honesty and effectiveness, and say so in the book.

I fully accept his criticism that the book introduces nuance and common sense into a debate that welcomes neither. Greenberg's review is appreciated, however it is unfortunate that he badly mischaracterizes some of the major points in the book in as prominent a venue as Nature.

6 comments:

  1. He may be confusing your negative evaluation of current climate policies to achieve their stated goals with current technologies.

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  2. I just added this comment in the comments section following the Greenberg review of my book at nature.com:

    Roger Pielke said:

    I welcome and appreciate Daniel Greenberg's review of my book. However, he does badly misrepresent one aspect of my argument when he writes,

    "Although Pielke accepts that the evidence for human influence on the climate system is robust, he stresses that the goal of cutting global carbon emissions is incompatible with economic growth for the world's poorest 1.5 billion people."

    In fact, I argue almost exactly the opposite — it is through providing energy access to the world's poorest and sustaining economic growth that lies our best chance for decarbonization. This is the essence of the "oblique" approach that is the focus of Chapter 9.

    I provide a more in depth response on my blog at:
    http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2010/09/daniel-greenberg-on-climate-fix-in.html

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  3. Dear Professor Pielke,
    It's never easy critiquing a critique.
    Have you read Robert Harris' 'Lustrum'?
    Truth is most often inconvenient to many, especially to politicians. Common sense would not make sense to them either.

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  4. Roger, to my untrained eye (I haven't read the book, yet), I'm not sure he does misrepresent you as directly as you say say.

    'Finally, Greenberg introduces a serious misrepresentation of my views when he characterizes them as follows:'

    'Although Pielke accepts that the evidence for human influence on the climate system is robust, he stresses that the goal of cutting global carbon emissions is incompatible with economic growth for the world's poorest 1.5 billion people.

    'No. Not even close. In fact, I argue much the opposite -- it is through providing energy access to the world's poorest and sustaining economic growth that lies our best chance for decarbonization.'

    This takes us back to the non-equivalence of 'global carbon emissions' and 'decarbonisation', defined crudely as C/GDP.

    As your previous (guest) post pointed out, the more you decarbonise light (not too much of a liberty?) the more we use.

    Growth delivers decarbonisation AND more carbon emissions.

    Now I have to read the book to see how you approach this conundrum. :)

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  5. If "shaping the message to suit the politics often involves a betrayal of scientific truth and a distortion of public and political understanding" is what is required to address the climate change problem, then God help us! This fellow Greenberg is a moron!

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  6. Thank you for speaking out about the misuse of science as a tool of government propaganda.

    Dr. Philip Campbell blacklisted me from commenting on anything that is published in Nature.

    I have suggested to him and to the Executive Committee of the Nature Publishing Group that it is time for him to resign as editor.

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel
    Former NASA Principal
    Investigator for Apollo

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