21 August 2010

Hung Parliament in Australian Election

Following the remarkable election in Britain last May, Australia has followed with its own remarkable election today, resulting in an apparent hung parliament.

The balance of power may lie with the four independent members of the House and the one newly-elected Gren party member:
The three incumbent independents, all former National Party members – Bob Katter, Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott – will be joined on the crossbench by Mr Wilkie, a former intelligence officer who fell out with the former Howard government over the Iraq war. Both he and Mr Bandt would be more disposed to siding with Labor.

The three former Nationals were non-committal last night and Mr Windsor warned that if stable government could not be achieved, "we may all end up back at the polls".

Mr Oakeshott offered hope to Labor by saying good communications, including broadband, was a priority for him.
Senior Liberal Nick Minchin said the independents should respect the major party that had the highest two-party-preferred vote and the most seats.

The final result may not be known for some days, especially as a record 1.8 million pre-poll votes were cast, including almost 951,000 postal votes.

The drift of votes to the Greens killed Labor. Its primary vote fell 5.3 percentage points from the 2007 election to 38.1 per cent while the Coalition's primary vote rose 1.6points to 43.7 per cent.

The Greens had a 3.8 per cent swing to receive 11.8 per cent. Mr Bandt is only the second Greens member to sit in the House of Representatives, following Michael Organ who won the 2002 Cunningham byelection.
It is too early to say what the implications might be for Australian climate policies -- which played a big role in Labor's demise -- as his election is still playing out, and may need to be played out again.  Stay tuned.

8 comments:

  1. Hi
    very interesting that you imply Climate Change has affected the result. Maybe this is a general trend and we can see more hung parliaments...maybe this is just one of those unexpected side effects of more CO2/Global Warming.

    Just think an increase of CO2 leading to more undecided voters. I wonder if we could get a graph on that.

    ;-)

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  2. This is one result that Roger cannot fence-sit.
    Bit of a shame as I was enjoying all the posts.
    Let's say this out loud - AGW is political, not scientific .
    The world population explosion is the big worry.

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  3. cartooned now too...

    http://www.cartoonsbyjosh.com/

    or

    http://www.cartoonsbyjosh.com/climate_changes_minds_scr.jpg

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  4. AGW is definitely scientific as the science says it's happening. Just read real science.

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  5. The main effect of climate change on the election result seems to have been an increase in the vote for the Green Party, at the expense of the Labor Party. More middle of the road voters who swung to the Liberal Party seem to have been influenced more by the Labor government's incompetence at administering programs and its instability.

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  6. The Greens blocked the Australian cap-and-trade in the Senate (twice). Within the Labour Party, Julie Guillard led the decision to shelve carbon pricing, and ousted Rudd. Tony Abbot ousted the coalition leader, Turnbull, because he supported carbon pricing.

    Climate change is fast becoming the "third rail" of politics.

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  7. Only 44% of Australian believe in AGW

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/141782/australians-views-shift-climate-change.aspx

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  8. Political gooses that play with nooses wind up: http://www.cartoonstock.com/newscartoons/cartoonists/mwl/lowres/mwln47l.jpg

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